Tata Capital IPO October 2025: What to Know Before You Subscribe — Offer Size, Risks & Growth Potential

Tata Capital IPO October 2025: What to Know Before You Subscribe — Offer Size, Risks & Growth Potential

Tata Capital IPO 2025: What to Know Before You Subscribe — Offer Size, Risks & Growth Potential.

Tata Capital IPO 2025 — Key Details, Strengths & Risks

India’s Tata Capital Limited, a prominent non-banking financial company (NBFC) under the Tata Group, is set to make its market debut via an IPO in early October 2025. This move is part of a regulatory mandate that “upper-layer” NBFCs list on stock exchanges by September 30, 2025.

Offer Size & Structure

Total issue size is expected to be around ₹17,000+ crore, making this one of the largest IPOs in recent times in India’s financial services space.

Approximately 47.58 crore equity shares will be on offer. This includes:
  • A fresh issue of about 21 crore shares to raise new capital.
  • An Offer for Sale (OFS) by existing shareholders — notably Tata Sons selling ~23 crore shares, and the International Finance Corporation (IFC) divesting ~3.58 crore shares.

Proceeds from the fresh issue will be used to bolster Tier-1 capital and support the expansion of lending operations.

Business Profile & Financials

Tata Capital is among India’s largest diversified NBFCs, with a gross loan book / assets under management (AUM) of about ₹2.2-2.3 lakh crore (≈ ₹220,000-230,000 crore) as of March-June 2025.

In the quarter ending March 2025, profit after tax grew ~31% year-on-year to ₹1,000 crore on revenues that rose nearly 50%.

Tata Capital completed a merger with Tata Motors Finance (TMFL) in May 2025, which strengthens its vehicle finance & commercial vehicle lending business, expanding reach and product mix.

Strengths

1. Strong Brand & Parentage: Being part of the Tata Group gives corporate credibility, access to capital, customer trust.

2. Diversified Products & Loan Mix: It operates across retail, SME, corporate finance, vehicle finance, housing etc. The merging of TMFL adds scale and strengthens auto financing vertical.

3. Growth Momentum: Solid growth in loan book, good quarterly profit growth, ability to raise fresh capital.

4. Regulatory Compliance & Timing: RBI mandate is pushing listing; this gives clarity to timing and necessity, potentially helping investors trust regulatory risk is lower.

Risks & Challenges

Asset Quality Concerns: Gross Stage-3 loan ratio (non-performing / stressed loans) stands at ~1.9% in FY25 (slightly up vs previous years) which is a moderate but visible risk.

Declining Provision Coverage Ratio: From ~77.1% in FY23 to ~58.5% in FY25 — meaning less cushion in provisions vs bad loans.

Exposure to Unsecured Loans: ~21% of the gross loan book is unsecured — higher risk in case of defaults.

Interest Rate & Funding Risks: Borrowing costs have increased (to ~7.8% in FY25), and fixed rate borrowings vs fixed rate loans mismatch could affect margins under volatile rate environment.

Valuation Premium: The IPO seems priced at a premium compared to many peers. Unlisted shares of Tata Capital have traded at high P/B (price/book) multiples, raising concerns that the IPO valuation might be aggressive.

What Investors Should Watch For

Final Price Band: Until the IPO price band is known, assessing whether valuation is fair is difficult.

Comparison with Peers: How Tata Capital stacks up vs other NBFCs in terms of RoE, NPAs, provision coverage.

Macro-economic & Interest Rate Trends: Since NBFCs are sensitive to rates, inflation, and credit cycles, any economic slowdown or tightening could hurt outcomes.

Execution Post-Merger of TMFL: Integrating vehicle finance business may bring operational and credit risks.

Conclusion

The Tata Capital IPO represents a rare large-scale opportunity in India’s NBFC sector. For investors, it offers access to a well-known brand, a diversified financial services business, and strong growth potential. But that comes with possible overvaluation risks, asset quality exposure, and sensitivity to interest rates.

If the IPO is priced reasonably, and the company manages its credit risk well, there is a decent chance for long term value. However, cautious investors will want to wait for more clarity on valuation, see how the unlisted share prices align, and compare with NBFC peers before deciding to subscribe heavily.

Team- Intellex Strategic Consulting Private Limited

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